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PoliticsFading · day 7

NBC poll: Donalds, Moody lead Florida races despite Trump's underwater rating

A new NBC South Florida/Telemundo survey shows Republicans ahead in Florida's governor and Senate races, but finds Hispanic voters drifting away from Trump.

newest coverage 6h agosummary written 6d ago16 pieces NewswiresMastodonRedditGoogle News

What to know

  • Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly 48%-41% in the Florida governor's race; Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leads Angie Nixon 50%-40% in the Senate race.
  • Florida's influential Hispanic voter bloc appears to be shifting back away from Trump after his significant 2024 gains, even as GOP candidates hold leads among Hispanic voters this cycle.
  • Trump's statewide job approval is underwater (45% approve, 49% disapprove), and the poll is cited as evidence that Democratic 2026 momentum seen elsewhere has limits in Florida.
  • Cost of living/inflation (30%) is by far the top issue for voters, ahead of immigration enforcement (16% overall, 12% among Hispanic voters) and property taxes.

“In legislative races in Florida, we have seen huge swings,”

Suzan DelBene, Chair, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee · NBC News · Oct 6

Byron DonaldsByron Donalds Republican candidate for Florida governorDavid JollyDavid Jolly Democratic candidate for Florida governorAshley MoodyAshley Moody Republican U.S. Senator from Florida, seeking electionAngie NixonAngie Nixon Democratic Senate candidate in FloridaDonald TrumpDonald Trump U.S. PresidentSuzan DelBeneSuzan DelBene Chair, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

NBC poll: Donalds, Moody lead Florida races despite Trump's underwater rating
nbcnews.com

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts

Peak 4 pieces in two hours at Oct 7, 8 PM; 16 pieces over 7 days (7 articles · 4 posts · 5 comments) Oct 6, 10 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 7, 12 AM — quietOct 7, 2 AM — quietOct 7, 4 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Google News 1, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Oct 7, 6 AM — quietOct 7, 8 AM — quietOct 7, 10 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Oct 7, 12 PM — quietOct 7, 2 PM — quietOct 7, 4 PM — quietOct 7, 6 PM — quietOct 7, 8 PM — 4 pieces · 1 post · 3 comments — Reddit 4Oct 7, 10 PM — quietOct 8, 12 AM — quietOct 8, 2 AM — quietOct 8, 4 AM — quietOct 8, 6 AM — quietOct 8, 8 AM — quietOct 8, 10 AM — quietOct 8, 12 PM — quietOct 8, 2 PM — quietOct 8, 4 PM — quietOct 8, 6 PM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Oct 8, 8 PM — quietOct 8, 10 PM — quietOct 9, 12 AM — quietOct 9, 2 AM — quietOct 9, 4 AM — quietOct 9, 6 AM — quietOct 9, 8 AM — quietOct 9, 10 AM — quietOct 9, 12 PM — quietOct 9, 2 PM — quietOct 9, 4 PM — quietOct 9, 6 PM — quietOct 9, 8 PM — quietOct 9, 10 PM — quietOct 10, 12 AM — quietOct 10, 2 AM — quietOct 10, 4 AM — quietOct 10, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 10, 8 AM — quietOct 10, 10 AM — quietOct 10, 12 PM — quietOct 10, 2 PM — quietOct 10, 4 PM — quietOct 10, 6 PM — quietOct 10, 8 PM — quietOct 10, 10 PM — quietOct 11, 12 AM — quietOct 11, 2 AM — quietOct 11, 4 AM — quietOct 11, 6 AM — quietOct 11, 8 AM — quietOct 11, 10 AM — quietOct 11, 12 PM — quietOct 11, 2 PM — quietOct 11, 4 PM — quietOct 11, 6 PM — quietOct 11, 8 PM — quietOct 11, 10 PM — quietOct 12, 12 AM — quietOct 12, 2 AM — quietOct 12, 4 AM — quietOct 12, 6 AM — quietOct 12, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 12, 10 AM — quietOct 12, 12 PM — quietOct 12, 2 PM — quietOct 12, 4 PM — quietOct 12, 6 PM — quietOct 12, 8 PM — quietOct 12, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Yesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Yesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quiet 1
Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12yesterdaynow · 2:50 AM ET
  1. 1

    Poll finds Hispanic voters shifting back away from Trump

    Despite GOP leads overall, the poll shows Florida's Hispanic voters — including Cuban, Nicaraguan, Honduran and Colombian populations — moving away from Trump since his 2024 gains, with his statewide approval underwater (45% approve, 49% disapprove) and cost of living cited as the top issue.

    “to go after the worst of the worst.”
    — Suzan DelBene
    1. 3 outlets GOP Leads Governor, Senate Races in NBC Florida Poll

      first by NewsMax.com, 6d ago · also NBC News, Orlando Sentinel

      2 more headlines

    • By affordable they mean they are going to ditch property taxes which they literally have no control over and pretty much exclusively makes sure if they did somehow get rid of them corporations would literally just buy everything up because they wouldn’t need to be taxed. The government would fall apart and be taken over by even more corporations…

      bobbymcpresscotr/politics1d agoview on r/politics ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 7 posts in this stretch
    • BrowardPolitics

      Quartet of recent polls shows Republican Byron Donalds with a continuing, albeit narrow, lead over Democrat David Jolly in race for Florida governor. In U.S. Senate race, Republican Ashley Moody enjoys a larger advantage over Democrat Angie Nixon. # Florida # politics gift link ... https://www. sun-sentinel.com/2026/10/10/fl…

      BrowardPoliticsMastodon1d agoview on Mastodon ↗

    • So my parents live in a very conservative area in Ohio. And the ads that I experience versus what they experience is a true dichotomy. Just straight manipulation and the vast majority of voters are going to take those ads as truth and not do their own actual investigation to determine their own truth.

      SportGamerDev0623r/politics6d agoview on r/politics ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    NBC/Telemundo poll shows Donalds, Moody with leads in Florida races — The survey puts Republican Byron Donalds at 48% to Democrat David Jolly's 41% in the governor's race, and Republican Sen. Ashley Moody at 50% to Democrat Angie Nixon's 40% in the Senate race.

What people are saying 4 voices from 2 sites · best of 7 · verbatim