CBS News: Trump's cost-of-living promises unmet as midterms near
Data shows gas, mortgages and overall prices still elevated despite Trump's 2024 pledges, with his own tariffs and Iran policy adding to inflation.
What to know
- Nine in 10 Americans say prices are the most important factor shaping their view of the economy, per a CBS News poll taken ahead of the midterm elections.
- Trump's 2024 campaign promises of sub-$2 gasoline and 2% mortgage rates remain unfulfilled two years later.
- Economists link part of the inflation to Trump's own policy choices: tariffs (estimated to add 2.9 points to inflation through February per the NY Fed) and the attack on Iran, which disrupted oil shipments.
- September inflation is forecast at 3.6% annually, up from 3.4% in August and nearly double the Fed's 2% target.
“judge the prices they're paying against the prices they paid four or five years ago, and are still shocked by it”
Ryan Bourne, Economist, Cato Institute · CBS News ↗ · Oct 8
Donald Trump U.S. PresidentGreg Daco Chief economist, EY-ParthenonRyan Bourne Economist, Cato InstituteFederal Reserve Bank of New York Research institution
How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts
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CBS News publishes analysis tying prices to Trump policy
CBS News (Aimee Picchi, Megan Cerullo, Mary Cunningham) published a data-driven piece contrasting Trump's affordability promises with current costs, quoting economists who link elevated prices partly to tariff and Iran policy decisions.
“It's undeniable that several of these supply shocks that the U.S. economy has been navigating through come from policy decisions made by the administration — namely, decisions to intervene in Iran and decisions to impose tariffs…”
— Greg Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon -
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September inflation forecast to rise to 3.6% — Economists polled by FactSet forecast September inflation rose at an annual rate of 3.6%, up from 3.4% in August and well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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CBS poll finds 90% of Americans cite prices as top concern — A CBS News poll found nine in 10 Americans say prices are the most important factor shaping their views of the economy, even as broader economic growth remains solid and unemployment low.
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New York Fed finds tariffs added to inflation — Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York found Trump's tariff regime contributed about 2.9 percentage points to inflation through February, and that without tariffs goods prices would have declined.
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Trump orders attack on Iran, disrupting oil markets — Trump's decision to attack Iran in February led to a drawn-out conflict that disrupted oil shipments and sharply drove up the price of oil, gas and diesel.
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Trump campaigns on promises to cut gas and mortgage costs — Trump campaigned on lowering Americans' cost of living, vowing to push gasoline prices below $2 a gallon and deliver 2% mortgage rates.
