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BusinessActive today · day 2

Smartphone shipments fall 20% YoY in Q3, worst since 2012, as memory costs spike

Counterpoint Research says AI-driven memory chip demand pushed device prices up and shipments to a 14-year low for the quarter.

What to know

  • Global smartphone shipments fell 20% year-on-year in Q3 2026, the weakest third quarter since 2012, per Counterpoint Research preliminary estimates.
  • Memory chip prices rose sharply as AI infrastructure projects absorbed supply, pushing device prices up and prompting manufacturers to prioritize margins over volume.
  • Apple's market share crossed 20% in a Q3 for the first time (22%), while Samsung held the top spot at 23%; Xiaomi, OPPO and vivo posted the steepest declines.
  • Analysts expect continued production cuts and a tilt toward premium devices, with price-sensitive buyers facing further pressure from higher prices and limited component availability.

Shilpi Jain Senior Analyst, Counterpoint ResearchSamsung Top smartphone manufacturer by market shareApple Smartphone manufacturerXiaomi Smartphone manufacturerCounterpoint Research Market research firm

Smartphone shipments fall 20% YoY in Q3, worst since 2012, as memory costs spike
Channel News Asia

How it unfolded 4 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 9 pieces in one hour at Oct 12, 9 AM; 26 pieces over 2 days (21 articles · 5 posts) Oct 11, 7 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 11, 8 PM — quietOct 11, 9 PM — quietOct 11, 10 PM — quietOct 11, 11 PM — quietOct 12, 12 AM — quietOct 12, 1 AM — quietOct 12, 2 AM — quietOct 12, 3 AM — quietOct 12, 4 AM — quietOct 12, 5 AM — quietOct 12, 6 AM — 4 pieces · 4 articles — Google News 4Oct 12, 7 AM — quietOct 12, 8 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Oct 12, 9 AM — 9 pieces · 9 articles — Newswires 9Oct 12, 10 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Hacker News 1Oct 12, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 12, 12 PM — quietOct 12, 1 PM — quietOct 12, 2 PM — quietOct 12, 3 PM — quietOct 12, 4 PM — quietOct 12, 5 PM — quietOct 12, 6 PM — quietOct 12, 7 PM — quietOct 12, 8 PM — quietOct 12, 9 PM — quietOct 12, 10 PM — quietOct 12, 11 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 12 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Yesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Yesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Yesterday, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Yesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 1 AM — quiet 12–34
Oct 12yesterdaynow · 2:46 AM ET
  1. 4

    Social reaction treats the decline as unsurprising

    A social media post sharing the Reuters/CNA coverage characterizes the finding as expected rather than news.

    “No surprises detected…”
    — Hawaii@mastodon.world
    • carlquintanilla.bsky.social

      Memory costs starting to bite: * Gartner's prelim 3Q worldwide PC shipments down -22.4% YoY to 55.4mn units, citing the impact of higher memory/storage costs .. * Smartphone unit sales tumbled 20% Y/Y in Q3 due to component shortages and price hikes .. @reuters.com

      carlquintanilla.bsky.socialBluesky15h ago298▲view on Bluesky ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • Hawaii@mastodon.world

      No surprises detected… https://www. channelnewsasia.com/business/g lobal-smartphone-shipments-record-worst-third-quarter-in-14-years-amid-memory-shortage-6453266

      Hawaii@mastodon.worldMastodon1d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  2. 3

    Company breakdownSamsung leads, Apple's share tops 20%, Xiaomi plunges

    Samsung kept the top spot with 23% share despite a 3% shipment decline, helped by the Galaxy Z Fold8 line; Apple's share reached 22%, crossing 20% in a Q3 for the first time despite a YoY shipment drop tied to the absence of a base iPhone 18 model; OPPO and vivo fell more than 20% and Xiaomi fell more than 30%, cutting its share to 10%.

    “Production cuts, tighter portfolios, and greater focus on premium devices are likely to continue, while price-sensitive segments face further pressure from higher device prices and limited availability of components.”
    — Counterpoint Research
  3. 2

    Analysts tie the slump to AI's demand for memory chips

    Rising prices for memory components, as AI infrastructure projects corner chip supplies, are said to have driven up production costs and prompted manufacturers to raise retail prices and cut shipments to protect profitability over volume.

    “Consumers are holding on to their devices longer than estimated, increasingly considering refurbished devices and prioritizing higher-value devices…”
    — Shilpi Jain, Counterpoint senior analyst · source
  4. 1

    Counterpoint Research reports 20% YoY drop in Q3 smartphone shipments

    Preliminary estimates from Counterpoint Research show global smartphone shipments fell 20% year-on-year, the lowest third-quarter level since 2012, driven by soaring memory chip costs and supply shortages.

    1. first by electronics.economictimes.indiatimes.com, 1d ago · also 9to5Google, Quartz, ZeroHedge, Indian Express, Reuters, Investing.com News +1

      3 more headlines
    2. first by Business Today, 1d ago · also Silicon Republic, Hindustan Times, Nairametrics, Finimize, Counterpoint Research

      6 more headlines
    1 more claim →

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