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Fox News predicts Democrats will win House for first time this cycle

Conservative outlet's latest power rankings forecast Democrats favored to capture 219 seats as Trump's approval rating hits historic lows.

What to know

  • Fox News projects Democrats will win 219 seats—one more than needed for House control—the outlet's first Democratic prediction this cycle.
  • Trump's historically low approval rating and Democratic generic ballot lead are cited as key drivers of the shift.
  • The Senate remains a toss-up, with both parties projected to win 47 seats each and six races too close to call.
  • Multiple analysts including Nate Silver corroborate that Democrats are strong favorites to retake the House.

“President Donald Trump's approval rating is hovering near historic lows as voters express frustration over the ongoing Iran war, soaring gas prices and inflation.”

The Independent, Reporter · The Independent ↗

Fox News Polling and analysis outletJohn RobertsJohn Roberts Fox News anchorDonald TrumpDonald Trump U.S. PresidentNate SilverNate Silver Political analyst

Fox News predicts Democrats will win House for first time this cycle
independent.co.uk

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlespostscomments

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  1. 1

    Nate Silver confirms Democrats remain strong House favorites

    Analyst Nate Silver reported that the Democratic forecast has remained relatively steady in recent weeks and that Democrats are strong favorites to retake the House. He also noted Democrats continue to lead in polling averages of six likeliest tipping-point Senate states.

    “Democrats remain strong favorites to retake the House. And in the Senate, they continue [to] lead in our polling averages of the six likeliest tipping-point states.”
    — Nate Silver
    1. first by The Hill, 18h ago · also Independent UK

      1 more headline
    • Fox News is now predicting Democrats will take control of the House in midterms

      MicroWave@lemmy.worldMastodon13h ago1▲view on Mastodon ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 3 posts in this stretch
    • It's not even a real movement. The opponents aren't conservative at all, what are they conserving? They're emboldened by foreign adversaries that want our country to die. They're funded by billionaires that style themselves unappointed kings. They create policy for the express purpose of destruction. Their voters are controlled by the most cutting…

      MountainMan2_r/politics3h agoview on r/politics ↗
    • Just vote anyway. It's every two years. It isn't a big deal. You can manage it every time. You also get an I voted sticker, which I hear the ladies love.

      SoothingWaferr/politics12h agoview on r/politics ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Fox News anchor Roberts cites Trump's low approval and ballot lead as drivers — Fox News anchor John Roberts announced the ranking on air, highlighting key factors behind the forecast: President Trump's low approval rating and Democratic advantage on the generic ballot.

  3. background

    Fox News projects Democratic House control in November midterms — Fox News released its latest power rankings on Tuesday predicting Democrats will win control of the House for the first time in this election cycle. The outlet forecasts Democrats favored to capture 219 seats (one more than the 218 needed for a majority), with Republicans favored in 198 races and 18 remaining as toss-ups.

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