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US inflation jumps to 3.7% in final CPI report before midterms

September consumer prices rose faster than expected, driven by surging gas and fuel oil costs tied to the Iran war, intensifying economic pressure on Republicans three weeks before Election Day.

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  1. US inflation jumps to 3.7% in final CPI report before midtermsyou are here
  2. Federal Reserve study: Trump tariffs raised U.S.-made goods prices by 2.9%
  3. US inflation jumps to 3.7% in September, worst pre-midterm reading since 1990
  4. Fed minutes signal another rate hike likely before year-end despite Trump pressure
  5. Trump's "greatest economy" claim collides with rising gas and inflation data

What to know

  • September CPI rose to 3.7%, the highest reading since May, in the last inflation report before the midterm elections.
  • Energy costs — gasoline up 34% and heating fuel oil up 74% year-over-year — drove most of the increase, linked by reporting to the US-Israel war with Iran.
  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll cited in coverage found 78% of Americans, including 57% of Trump supporters, blame administration policies for inflation outpacing earnings.
  • The hot CPI print raised fears the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates more aggressively, pulling down US stocks.

The dispute Whether the inflation spike reflects a direct failure of Trump administration policy or is primarily a consequence of the Iran war's effect on global energy prices. · positions read across 21 posts and comments

most voices

Trump and Republican economic policies are responsible for the inflation spike, and voters should punish them in November.

  • “A reminder: Inflation was 3.0% when Biden left office. Under Trump, it's now up to 3.7%”

    @rpsagainsttrump · Bluesky ↗
some voices

The inflation rise is specifically attributable to energy prices — gasoline and fuel oil — rather than broad policy failure.

  • “Gas is driving America's inflation surge. Gasoline prices jumped 9.1% in September, and fuel oil, including diesel, surged 15.3%.”

    @unusual_whales · X ↗
some voices

The war in Iran, not domestic policy per se, is the real cause of the price surge and resulting voter anger.

  • “Americans are paying the price for Trump's war in Iran and Republicans' economic agenda. November can't get here soon enough.”

    @gene4va · Bluesky ↗

Donald TrumpDonald Trump US PresidentTed LieuTed Lieu US Representative (D)Heather Long Chief economist, Navy Federal Credit UnionFederal Reserve US central bank

US inflation jumps to 3.7% in final CPI report before midterms
theguardian.com

How it unfolded 7 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesvideospostscomments

Peak 34 pieces in one hour at Yesterday, 11 AM; 114 pieces over 2 days (64 articles · 5 videos · 43 posts · 2 comments) Oct 12, 7 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 12, 8 PM — quietOct 12, 9 PM — quietOct 12, 10 PM — quietOct 12, 11 PM — quietOct 13, 12 AM — quietOct 13, 1 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 13, 2 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Oct 13, 3 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 13, 4 AM — quietOct 13, 5 AM — quietOct 13, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Oct 13, 7 AM — quietOct 13, 8 AM — quietOct 13, 9 AM — quietOct 13, 10 AM — quietOct 13, 11 AM — quietOct 13, 12 PM — quietOct 13, 1 PM — quietOct 13, 2 PM — quietOct 13, 3 PM — quietOct 13, 4 PM — quietOct 13, 5 PM — quietOct 13, 6 PM — quietOct 13, 7 PM — quietOct 13, 8 PM — quietOct 13, 9 PM — quietOct 13, 10 PM — quietOct 13, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Google News 2, Mastodon 1Yesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — 3 pieces · 3 articles — Google News 3Yesterday, 3 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Yesterday, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Yesterday, 7 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Yesterday, 8 AM — 11 pieces · 5 articles · 6 posts — Bluesky 3, Google News 3, Mastodon 3, +1 moreYesterday, 9 AM — 8 pieces · 2 articles · 6 posts — Mastodon 4, Bluesky 2, Newswires 2Yesterday, 10 AM — 11 pieces · 2 articles · 1 video · 8 posts — Mastodon 6, Newswires 2, X 2, +1 moreYesterday, 11 AM — 34 pieces · 29 articles · 5 posts — Newswires 25, Bluesky 4, Google News 4, +1 moreYesterday, 12 PM — 4 pieces · 3 articles · 1 post — Newswires 2, Google News 1, Mastodon 1Yesterday, 1 PM — 4 pieces · 2 articles · 2 posts — Bluesky 1, Google News 1, Reddit 1, +1 moreYesterday, 2 PM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Bluesky 1, Google News 1Yesterday, 3 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 4 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Yesterday, 5 PM — 4 pieces · 1 article · 1 video · 2 posts — Mastodon 2, Newswires 1, YouTube 1Yesterday, 6 PM — 7 pieces · 3 articles · 2 videos · 2 posts — Newswires 3, Mastodon 2, YouTube 2Yesterday, 7 PM — 1 piece · 1 video — YouTube 1Yesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — 3 pieces · 3 posts — Mastodon 2, Reddit 1Yesterday, 10 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Yesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — 3 pieces · 1 post · 2 comments — Reddit 2, Mastodon 1Today, 1 AM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 3 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Mastodon 1 1234–56–7
Oct 13yesterdaynow · 4:24 AM ET
  1. 7

    Economists detail inflation's squeeze on households ahead of vote

    On PBS NewsHour, Navy Federal Credit Union chief economist Heather Long discussed with Amna Nawaz what the hotter-than-expected inflation numbers mean for Americans three weeks before the midterms, noting pressure on everyday essentials.

    1. first by Mastodon, just now

    • But the US doesn't really control the end of the war, does it? Even if the US just gives up, Iran can still exert influence over the strait, and probably would for some time before it felt secure enough to let it normalize. Gulf coast nations with damaged infrastructure may require months or years to restore full operation. And even when the flow…

      ICLazerur/Economics3h agoview on r/Economics ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 3 posts in this stretch
    • https://www. europesays.com/unitedstates/40 656/ US inflation rises to 3.7% as gasoline prices surge, putting Fed rate outlook in focus # ConsumerPriceIndex # CoreCPI # EnergyCosts # FederalReserve # GasolinePrices # HeadlineInflation # InflationRate # USConsumerInflation

      UnitedStates@pubeurope.comMastodon6h agoview on Mastodon ↗
    • I'm not making a false claim lol. Iran has a lot of influence on oil prices. Attacking Iran has caused a spike in global oil prices and inflational around the world. Beyond just the United States. You're the one claiming there is only one cause of inflational in the states which just isn't true. Such an odd stance too considering I never said…

      myfotosr/Economics3h agoview on r/Economics ↗
    all of them →
  2. 6

    Stocks fall and Fed rate-hike fears rise after hot CPI print

    US stocks fell, led by chipmakers, as the stronger-than-expected CPI data raised concerns the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates more aggressively than previously expected.

    1. first by Semafor, 12h ago

    • Breaking down September's inflation report https://www. cbsnews.com/video/inflation-ac celerated-to-37-amid-rising-energy-costs-september-cpi-report-shows/?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub Posted into Mideast Conflict @ mideast-conflict-thenewsdesk

      thenewsdesk@flipboard.comMastodon10h ago1▲view on Mastodon ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates again after consumer prices rose more in September than economists had expected.

      semafor@threads.netMastodon10h agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  3. 5

    Analysts pinpoint gas and fuel oil as the main inflation drivers

    Financial commentators broke down the report, noting gasoline prices jumped 9.1% in September and fuel oil surged 15.3%, with energy accounting for more than half of the monthly price increase.

    “Gas is driving America's inflation surge.”
    — @unusual_whales
    1. first by Syracuse.com, 15h ago · also CNN, KTVZ-TV, Courthouse News, Associated Press, Philadelphia Inquirer

      1 more headline
    2. first by BBC, 16h ago · also BBC Business

    1 more claim →
    • rbreich.bsky.social

      "Starting on Day One of my new administration, we will end inflation, and we will make America affordable again." -Donald Trump

      rbreich.bsky.socialBluesky16h ago3.1k▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 7 posts in this stretch
    • Gas is driving America’s inflation surge. Gasoline prices jumped 9.1% in September, and fuel oil, including diesel, surged 15.3%. Energy accounted for more than half of the monthly rise in consumer prices, pushing annual inflation to 3.7%.

      @unusual_whalesX17h ago66▲view on X ↗
    • BREAKING: U.S. inflation jumped to 3.7% in September, up from 3.4% in August, moving further away from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Consumer prices rose 0.6% in a single month, while gas prices surged 9.1% A reminder: Inflation was 3.0% when Biden left office. Under Trump, it’s now up to 3.7%

      rpsagainsttrump.bsky.socialBluesky16h ago292▲view on Bluesky ↗
    all of them →
  4. 4

    Democrats and critics blame Trump and Republicans for inflation spike

    Lawmakers and commentators seized on the report to argue Trump administration policies, not external factors, are driving the cost-of-living crisis ahead of the midterms.

    “This hot CPI report is exhibit number 327 that the policies of trump and Republicans are wrecking our economy.”
    — Ted Lieu
    • adamserwer.bsky.social

      But there are fewer black people on the teevee and isn’t that what really matters?

      adamserwer.bsky.socialBluesky19h ago524▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 8 posts in this stretch
    • U.S. inflation accelerated last month as gas, clothes, and air fares got more expensive, evidence that rising prices remain an economic challenge just a few weeks before the midterm elections.

      @NewsHourX17h ago79▲view on X ↗
    • Nonilex@masto.ai

      Soaring # Energy # Prices Push # Inflation Higher The Consumer Price Index rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier, faster than a month earlier, as # gas prices surged 34%. # Trump # economy # CPI # TrumpsWar # IranWar # WarOfChoice # Iran # energy # oil # diesel # FossilFuels # EnergyCrisis # affordability # CostOfLiving # recession #…

      Nonilex@masto.aiMastodon17h ago10▲view on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  5. 3

    BLS reports September CPI rose to 3.7%, above forecasts

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics said consumer prices rose 3.7% year-over-year in September, up from 3.4% in August, with a 0.6% monthly increase; core inflation rose 0.3% to 2.6% annually. Gasoline accounted for over half of the increase, up 34% year-over-year, while heating fuel oil rose 74%.

    1. first by The Hill, 11h ago · also CBS News, Associated Press

      1 more headline
    2. first by RTÉ, 16h ago · also Channel News Asia, Investing.com News

      1 more headline
    6 more claims →
  6. 2

    Trump defends his economic record at Alaska rally

    Speaking at a rally in Wasilla, Alaska, Trump said his administration's support for families has been substantial and dismissed affordability criticism.

    “Every time they want to try and get me, they say 'affordability'”
    — Donald Trump
  7. 1

    Trump blames Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia for oil price spike

    Ahead of the CPI release, Trump posted that Yemen's Houthi group was attacking Saudi Arabia to deliberately drive up oil prices before the US elections, deflecting blame from his administration.

    “They've emerged again, probably at the behest of Iran … in a very nasty way, hitting Saudi Arabia, and purposefully trying to drive up Oil Prices, probably prior to the U.S. Elections — NOT NICE…”
    — Donald Trump
    • German inflation rises to 3.3% in September https://www. investing.com/news/economic-in dicators/german-inflation-rises-to-33-in-september-93CH-4945543?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub Posted into Economic Indicators @ economic-indicators-Investingdotcom

      Investingdotcom@flipboard.comMastodon2d agoview on Mastodon ↗

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Political.org, 16h ago · also The Guardian, The Hill

    2 more headlines
  2. first by Times of India, 16h ago · also Yahoo Finance, Axios

    2 more headlines
  3. first by WTOP News, 16h ago · also The Economic Times, AP News

    1 more headline
  4. first by The Daily Caller, 16h ago · also Daily Caller

  5. first by Washington Post, 16h ago · also The Washington Post

  6. first by Forbes India, 1d ago · also Anadolu Agency

    1 more headline

and 4 smaller pieces

What people are saying 9 voices from 2 sites · best of 21 · verbatim

Still unanswered
  • How much of the energy price surge can be attributed to the Iran war versus other factors like the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia?
  • Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates further in response to the hotter-than-expected CPI print?
  • How will the inflation numbers affect midterm election outcomes given the scale of voter dissatisfaction reported in polling?